Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View.pdf

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View true
By:Jakub Bijak
Published on 2010-10-23 by Springer Science & Business Media


International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.

This Book was ranked at 27 by Google Books for keyword Forecasting.

Book ID of Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View's Books is XGiApQtIt2QC, Book which was written byJakub Bijakhave ETAG "R8qlxDLQnhA"

Book which was published by Springer Science & Business Media since 2010-10-23 have ISBNs, ISBN 13 Code is 9789048188970 and ISBN 10 Code is 9048188970

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